Target Price Playground
BB
$3.84
๐ข
BB IV: 54.1% โ LOW
(-50.1% vs 30d avg of 108.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $4 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.28 ยท ฮ 0.47
LONG PUT ยท $4 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.39 ยท ฮ -0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BB hits $5 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-17 (-25.4%) on $67 risked, vs +$66 (17.2%) for 100 shares on $384. Options give 1.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BB is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BB hits $5 by Jun 19
$-17
-25.4% on $67 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$67
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$3.33
-13.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-7.3 / -0.45 / 1.34
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3 (-20%) | +$32 | +$28 | +$26 | +$26 |
| $3 (-15%) | +$19 | +$13 | +$8 | +$7 |
| $3 (-10%) | +$10 | +$1 | -$8 | -$13 |
| $4 (-5%) | +$4 | -$7 | -$19 | -$32 |
| $4 (-2%) | +$2 | -$9 | -$23 | -$43 |
| $4 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | -$10 | -$25 | -$51 |
| $4 (+2%) | +$1 | -$11 | -$26 | -$59 |
| $4 (+5%) | +$2 | -$10 | -$26 | -$64 |
| $4 (+10%) | +$7 | -$6 | -$21 | -$45 |
| $4 (+15%) | +$14 | +$3 | -$11 | -$25 |
| $5 (+17%) โ target | +$18 | +$7 | -$6 | -$17 |
| $5 (+20%) | +$24 | +$14 | +$2 | -$6 |
Uses BB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.