Target Price Playground
BB
$3.84
๐ข
BB IV: 54.1% โ LOW
(-50.1% vs 30d avg of 108.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $4 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.28 ยท ฮ 0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BB hits $5 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$22 (78.6%) on $28 risked, vs +$66 (17.2%) for 100 shares on $384. Options give 4.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BB is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BB hits $5 by Jun 19
+$22
+78.6% on $28 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$28
Premium paid
Break-even
$4.28
+11.46% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
46.82 / -0.24 / 0.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3 (-20%) | -$24 | -$26 | -$28 | -$28 |
| $3 (-15%) | -$20 | -$24 | -$27 | -$28 |
| $3 (-10%) | -$15 | -$20 | -$25 | -$28 |
| $4 (-5%) | -$8 | -$14 | -$21 | -$28 |
| $4 (-2%) | -$4 | -$10 | -$18 | -$28 |
| $4 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$7 | -$15 | -$28 |
| $4 (+2%) | +$4 | -$3 | -$11 | -$28 |
| $4 (+5%) | +$10 | +$3 | -$5 | -$25 |
| $4 (+10%) | +$22 | +$15 | +$6 | -$6 |
| $4 (+15%) | +$35 | +$29 | +$21 | +$14 |
| $5 (+17%) โ target | +$41 | +$35 | +$28 | +$22 |
| $5 (+20%) | +$50 | +$44 | +$38 | +$33 |
Uses BB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.