Target Price Playground
BILL
$34.71
๐ข
BILL IV: 51.8% โ LOW
(-61.7% vs 30d avg of 135.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $39 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $35 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.38 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $37 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.58 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BILL hits $39 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$120 (150.5%) on $80 risked, vs +$429 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $3,471. Options give 12.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BILL is at $39. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BILL hits $39 by Jun 19
+$120
+150.5% on $80 risked
Max Profit
+$120
If the stock โฅ $37 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$80
Net debit
Break-even
$35.80
+3.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
6.95 / 0.02 / -0.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BILL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $28 (-20%) | -$46 | -$53 | -$66 | -$80 |
| $30 (-15%) | -$36 | -$42 | -$55 | -$80 |
| $31 (-10%) | -$24 | -$29 | -$40 | -$80 |
| $33 (-5%) | -$12 | -$15 | -$22 | -$80 |
| $34 (-2%) | -$5 | -$6 | -$10 | -$80 |
| $35 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$0 | -$2 | -$80 |
| $35 (+2%) | +$5 | +$6 | +$7 | -$40 |
| $36 (+5%) | +$12 | +$15 | +$19 | +$65 |
| $38 (+10%) | +$23 | +$29 | +$38 | +$120 |
| $39 (+12%) โ target | +$29 | +$35 | +$47 | +$120 |
| $40 (+15%) | +$34 | +$42 | +$56 | +$120 |
| $42 (+20%) | +$44 | +$54 | +$71 | +$120 |
Uses BILL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.