Target Price Playground
BILL
$34.71
๐ข
BILL IV: 51.8% โ LOW
(-61.7% vs 30d avg of 135.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $39 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $35 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.38 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BILL hits $39 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-38 (-8.7%) on $438 risked, vs +$429 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $3,471. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BILL is at $39. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BILL hits $39 by Jun 19
$-38
-8.7% on $438 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$438
Premium paid
Break-even
$39.38
+13.46% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.31 / -3.43 / 5.86
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BILL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $28 (-20%) | -$298 | -$352 | -$407 | -$438 |
| $30 (-15%) | -$242 | -$306 | -$378 | -$438 |
| $31 (-10%) | -$173 | -$245 | -$334 | -$438 |
| $33 (-5%) | -$92 | -$171 | -$271 | -$438 |
| $34 (-2%) | -$38 | -$119 | -$224 | -$438 |
| $35 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$83 | -$189 | -$438 |
| $35 (+2%) | +$40 | -$44 | -$151 | -$398 |
| $36 (+5%) | +$103 | +$19 | -$89 | -$293 |
| $38 (+10%) | +$216 | +$132 | +$28 | -$120 |
| $39 (+12%) โ target | +$272 | +$190 | +$88 | -$38 |
| $40 (+15%) | +$338 | +$257 | +$159 | +$54 |
| $42 (+20%) | +$467 | +$390 | +$302 | +$227 |
Uses BILL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.