Target Price Playground
BL
$30.29
๐ข
BL IV: 61.1% โ LOW
(-39.1% vs 30d avg of 100.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $32 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $28 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.05 ยท ฮ -0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BL hits $32 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$205 (7.9%) on $-205 credit (max loss $2,595), vs +$171 (5.6%) for 100 shares on $3,029. Options give 1.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BL is at $32. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BL hits $32 by Jun 19
+$205
+7.9% on $2,595 max loss
Max Profit
+$205
If the stock โฅ $28 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,595
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$25.95
-14.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
32.46 / 2.07 / -4.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $24 (-20%) | -$288 | -$251 | -$207 | -$172 |
| $26 (-15%) | -$197 | -$153 | -$96 | -$20 |
| $27 (-10%) | -$120 | -$71 | -$6 | +$131 |
| $29 (-5%) | -$54 | -$3 | +$64 | +$205 |
| $30 (-2%) | -$20 | +$30 | +$96 | +$205 |
| $30 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$50 | +$115 | +$205 |
| $31 (+2%) | +$19 | +$69 | +$130 | +$205 |
| $32 (+6%) โ target | +$50 | +$97 | +$153 | +$205 |
| $33 (+10%) | +$80 | +$124 | +$172 | +$205 |
| $35 (+15%) | +$109 | +$147 | +$186 | +$205 |
| $36 (+20%) | +$131 | +$165 | +$195 | +$205 |
Uses BL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.