Target Price Playground
BL
$30.29
๐ข
BL IV: 61.1% โ LOW
(-39.1% vs 30d avg of 100.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $33 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $30.29 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $33 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.34 ยท ฮ 0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BL hits $33 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$505 (18.1%) on $2,795 risked, vs +$271 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $3,029. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BL is at $33. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BL hits $33 by Jun 19
+$505
+18.1% on $2,795 risked
Max Profit
+$505
If the stock โฅ $33 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,795
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$27.95
-7.71% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.86 / 2.57 / -5.12
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $24 (-20%) | -$424 | -$397 | -$377 | -$372 |
| $26 (-15%) | -$302 | -$266 | -$233 | -$220 |
| $27 (-10%) | -$191 | -$145 | -$97 | -$69 |
| $29 (-5%) | -$89 | -$35 | +$28 | +$83 |
| $30 (-2%) | -$35 | +$24 | +$95 | +$173 |
| $30 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$62 | +$137 | +$234 |
| $31 (+2%) | +$34 | +$97 | +$177 | +$295 |
| $32 (+5%) | +$79 | +$145 | +$230 | +$385 |
| $33 (+9%) โ target | +$135 | +$203 | +$290 | +$505 |
| $33 (+10%) | +$148 | +$217 | +$305 | +$505 |
| $35 (+15%) | +$207 | +$276 | +$363 | +$505 |
| $36 (+20%) | +$257 | +$324 | +$406 | +$505 |
Uses BL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.