Target Price Playground
BL
$30.29
๐ข
BL IV: 61.1% โ LOW
(-39.1% vs 30d avg of 100.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $29 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $30 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.56 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.5 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BL hits $29 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$149 (140.6%) on $106 risked, vs $-129 (-4.3%) for 100 shares on $3,029. Options give 32.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BL is at $29. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BL hits $29 by Jun 19
+$149
+140.6% on $106 risked
Max Profit
+$146
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$91
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$32.76
+8.15% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
88%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-3.76 / 0.35 / 1.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $24 (-20%) | +$8 | +$15 | +$22 | +$11 |
| $26 (-15%) | +$9 | +$18 | +$32 | +$38 |
| $27 (-10%) | +$8 | +$18 | +$37 | +$79 |
| $29 (-4%) โ target | +$4 | +$15 | +$35 | +$149 |
| $30 (-2%) | +$2 | +$12 | +$31 | +$114 |
| $30 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$10 | +$28 | +$86 |
| $31 (+2%) | -$2 | +$7 | +$23 | +$61 |
| $32 (+5%) | -$6 | +$1 | +$15 | +$29 |
| $33 (+10%) | -$14 | -$9 | -$1 | -$14 |
| $35 (+15%) | -$22 | -$19 | -$19 | -$45 |
| $36 (+20%) | -$30 | -$30 | -$35 | -$67 |
Uses BL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.