Target Price Playground
BL
$30.29
๐ข
BL IV: 61.1% โ LOW
(-39.1% vs 30d avg of 100.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $34 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $30 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.53 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BL hits $34 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$47 (13.2%) on $353 risked, vs +$371 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $3,029. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BL is at $34. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BL hits $34 by Jun 19
+$47
+13.2% on $353 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$353
Premium paid
Break-even
$33.53
+10.71% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.0 / -2.58 / 5.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $24 (-20%) | -$258 | -$296 | -$334 | -$353 |
| $26 (-15%) | -$211 | -$258 | -$312 | -$353 |
| $27 (-10%) | -$153 | -$207 | -$274 | -$353 |
| $29 (-5%) | -$82 | -$141 | -$217 | -$353 |
| $30 (-2%) | -$34 | -$96 | -$175 | -$353 |
| $30 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$62 | -$142 | -$324 |
| $31 (+2%) | +$37 | -$26 | -$106 | -$263 |
| $32 (+5%) | +$93 | +$31 | -$48 | -$173 |
| $33 (+10%) | +$196 | +$136 | +$63 | -$21 |
| $34 (+12%) โ target | +$245 | +$186 | +$117 | +$47 |
| $35 (+15%) | +$308 | +$251 | +$186 | +$130 |
| $36 (+20%) | +$427 | +$375 | +$319 | +$282 |
Uses BL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.