Target Price Playground
BL
$30.29
๐ข
BL IV: 61.1% โ LOW
(-39.1% vs 30d avg of 100.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $33 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $30.29 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.5 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BL hits $33 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$21 (0.6%) on $3,279 risked, vs +$271 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $3,029. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BL is at $33. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BL hits $33 by Jun 19
+$21
+0.6% on $3,279 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$379
Put floors you at $29
Break-even
$32.79
+8.24% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.79 / -2.16 / 4.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $24 (-20%) | -$287 | -$322 | -$359 | -$379 |
| $26 (-15%) | -$234 | -$276 | -$328 | -$379 |
| $27 (-10%) | -$168 | -$216 | -$279 | -$379 |
| $29 (-5%) | -$90 | -$142 | -$210 | -$379 |
| $30 (-2%) | -$38 | -$90 | -$160 | -$311 |
| $30 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$53 | -$122 | -$250 |
| $31 (+2%) | +$39 | -$14 | -$81 | -$189 |
| $32 (+5%) | +$100 | +$48 | -$17 | -$99 |
| $33 (+9%) โ target | +$186 | +$136 | +$78 | +$21 |
| $33 (+10%) | +$209 | +$161 | +$104 | +$53 |
| $35 (+15%) | +$326 | +$282 | +$235 | +$204 |
| $36 (+20%) | +$451 | +$412 | +$374 | +$356 |
Uses BL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.