Target Price Playground
BL
$30.29
๐ข
BL IV: 61.1% โ LOW
(-39.1% vs 30d avg of 100.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $35 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $30 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.53 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $30 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.0 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BL hits $35 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-153 (-23.4%) on $653 risked, vs +$471 (15.5%) for 100 shares on $3,029. Options give 1.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BL is at $35. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BL hits $35 by Jun 19
$-153
-23.4% on $653 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$653
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$36.53
+20.6% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.01 / -4.8 / 10.15
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $24 (-20%) | +$90 | +$21 | -$47 | -$76 |
| $26 (-15%) | +$31 | -$55 | -$154 | -$228 |
| $27 (-10%) | -$3 | -$104 | -$229 | -$379 |
| $29 (-5%) | -$13 | -$124 | -$268 | -$531 |
| $30 (-2%) | -$8 | -$123 | -$273 | -$621 |
| $30 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$117 | -$268 | -$624 |
| $31 (+2%) | +$11 | -$106 | -$258 | -$563 |
| $32 (+5%) | +$35 | -$82 | -$231 | -$473 |
| $33 (+10%) | +$89 | -$24 | -$162 | -$321 |
| $35 (+16%) โ target | +$170 | +$64 | -$55 | -$153 |
| $36 (+20%) | +$247 | +$150 | +$47 | -$18 |
Uses BL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.