Target Price Playground
BLKB
$34.27
๐ด
BLKB IV: 124.6% โ HIGH
(+104.7% vs 30d avg of 60.9%)
Options are expensive vs 30d avg โ good time to SELL premium (covered calls, credit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $33 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $34 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.77 ยท ฮ -0.38
SHORT PUT ยท $33 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.17 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BLKB hits $33 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$268 (167.0%) on $161 risked, vs $-127 (-3.7%) for 100 shares on $3,427. Options give 45.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BLKB is at $33. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BLKB hits $33 by Jun 19
+$268
+167.0% on $161 risked
Max Profit
+$267
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$59
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$41.10
+19.92% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
93%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-0.9 / 0.69 / 1.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BLKB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | -$4 | +$11 | +$35 | +$46 |
| $29 (-15%) | -$0 | +$17 | +$47 | +$100 |
| $31 (-10%) | +$1 | +$20 | +$54 | +$166 |
| $33 (-5%) | +$2 | +$21 | +$57 | +$246 |
| $33 (-4%) โ target | +$1 | +$21 | +$57 | +$269 |
| $34 (-2%) | +$1 | +$21 | +$57 | +$242 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | +$20 | +$56 | +$211 |
| $35 (+2%) | -$0 | +$19 | +$54 | +$183 |
| $36 (+5%) | -$2 | +$17 | +$50 | +$144 |
| $38 (+10%) | -$5 | +$12 | +$41 | +$87 |
| $39 (+15%) | -$8 | +$6 | +$30 | +$39 |
| $41 (+20%) | -$13 | -$0 | +$17 | +$0 |
Uses BLKB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.