Target Price Playground
BLKB
$34.27
๐ด
BLKB IV: 124.6% โ HIGH
(+104.7% vs 30d avg of 60.9%)
Options are expensive vs 30d avg โ good time to SELL premium (covered calls, credit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $38 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $34 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.27 ยท ฮ 0.6
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BLKB hits $38 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-227 (-36.2%) on $627 risked, vs +$373 (10.9%) for 100 shares on $3,427. Options give 3.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BLKB is at $38. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BLKB hits $38 by Jun 19
$-227
-36.2% on $627 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$627
Premium paid
Break-even
$40.27
+17.51% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
60.22 / -4.57 / 5.66
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BLKB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | -$347 | -$433 | -$534 | -$627 |
| $29 (-15%) | -$273 | -$368 | -$485 | -$627 |
| $31 (-10%) | -$191 | -$293 | -$422 | -$627 |
| $33 (-5%) | -$99 | -$206 | -$345 | -$627 |
| $34 (-2%) | -$41 | -$150 | -$293 | -$627 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$111 | -$254 | -$600 |
| $35 (+2%) | +$42 | -$69 | -$214 | -$531 |
| $36 (+5%) | +$107 | -$6 | -$151 | -$429 |
| $38 (+11%) โ target | +$241 | +$129 | -$14 | -$227 |
| $39 (+15%) | +$340 | +$229 | +$90 | -$86 |
| $41 (+20%) | +$466 | +$356 | +$224 | +$85 |
Uses BLKB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.