Target Price Playground
BMNR
$21.28
๐ข
BMNR IV: 87.3% โ LOW
(-25.8% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.13 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $23 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.56 ยท ฮ 0.5
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BMNR hits $24 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$93 (161.5%) on $57 risked, vs +$272 (12.8%) for 100 shares on $2,128. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BMNR is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BMNR hits $24 by Jun 19
+$93
+161.5% on $57 risked
Max Profit
+$93
If the stock โฅ $23 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$57
Net debit
Break-even
$22.07
+3.73% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.18 / -0.01 / -0.16
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BMNR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | -$29 | -$34 | -$43 | -$57 |
| $18 (-15%) | -$22 | -$26 | -$35 | -$57 |
| $19 (-10%) | -$14 | -$17 | -$24 | -$57 |
| $20 (-5%) | -$7 | -$8 | -$12 | -$57 |
| $21 (-2%) | -$2 | -$3 | -$5 | -$57 |
| $21 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | +$1 | +$0 | -$57 |
| $22 (+2%) | +$4 | +$5 | +$6 | -$36 |
| $22 (+5%) | +$8 | +$10 | +$13 | +$27 |
| $23 (+10%) | +$16 | +$19 | +$26 | +$93 |
| $24 (+13%) โ target | +$20 | +$24 | +$33 | +$93 |
| $24 (+15%) | +$23 | +$28 | +$38 | +$93 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$29 | +$36 | +$48 | +$93 |
Uses BMNR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.