Target Price Playground
BMNR
$21.28
๐ข
BMNR IV: 87.3% โ LOW
(-25.8% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $19 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.18 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.13 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BMNR hits $19 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$96 (92.0%) on $104 risked, vs $-278 (-13.1%) for 100 shares on $2,128. Options give 7.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BMNR is at $19. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BMNR hits $19 by Jun 19
+$96
+92.0% on $104 risked
Max Profit
+$96
If the stock โค $20 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$104
Net debit
Break-even
$20.46
-3.86% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.91 / -0.14 / 0.28
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BMNR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | +$43 | +$48 | +$60 | +$95 |
| $18 (-15%) | +$32 | +$35 | +$44 | +$95 |
| $19 (-13%) โ target | +$28 | +$30 | +$37 | +$95 |
| $19 (-10%) | +$21 | +$22 | +$26 | +$95 |
| $20 (-5%) | +$10 | +$8 | +$7 | +$23 |
| $21 (-2%) | +$3 | +$1 | -$4 | -$40 |
| $21 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$5 | -$11 | -$83 |
| $22 (+2%) | -$5 | -$10 | -$18 | -$105 |
| $22 (+5%) | -$11 | -$17 | -$28 | -$105 |
| $23 (+10%) | -$21 | -$29 | -$44 | -$105 |
| $24 (+15%) | -$30 | -$40 | -$57 | -$105 |
| $26 (+20%) | -$38 | -$49 | -$68 | -$105 |
Uses BMNR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.