Target Price Playground
BMNR
$21.28
๐ข
BMNR IV: 88.2% โ LOW
(-25.1% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $20 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $22 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.73 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.42 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BMNR hits $20 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$148 (113.0%) on $131 risked, vs $-128 (-6.0%) for 100 shares on $2,128. Options give 18.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BMNR is at $20. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BMNR hits $20 by Jun 19
+$148
+113.0% on $131 risked
Max Profit
+$147
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$87
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$23.40
+9.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
87%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-5.22 / 0.32 / 0.76
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BMNR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | +$21 | +$30 | +$45 | +$53 |
| $18 (-15%) | +$19 | +$28 | +$46 | +$79 |
| $19 (-10%) | +$15 | +$25 | +$44 | +$113 |
| $20 (-6%) โ target | +$11 | +$21 | +$39 | +$147 |
| $20 (-5%) | +$10 | +$19 | +$38 | +$135 |
| $21 (-2%) | +$6 | +$15 | +$33 | +$102 |
| $21 (0%) โ spot | +$4 | +$13 | +$29 | +$82 |
| $22 (+2%) | +$2 | +$9 | +$24 | +$62 |
| $22 (+5%) | -$2 | +$5 | +$17 | +$37 |
| $23 (+10%) | -$9 | -$4 | +$4 | -$1 |
| $24 (+15%) | -$16 | -$13 | -$10 | -$30 |
| $26 (+20%) | -$24 | -$23 | -$24 | -$54 |
Uses BMNR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.