Target Price Playground
BMNR
$21.28
๐ข
BMNR IV: 87.3% โ LOW
(-25.8% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.13 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BMNR hits $24 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-63 (-20.2%) on $313 risked, vs +$272 (12.8%) for 100 shares on $2,128. Options give 1.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BMNR is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BMNR hits $24 by Jun 19
$-63
-20.2% on $313 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$313
Premium paid
Break-even
$24.63
+15.76% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.19 / -2.44 / 3.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BMNR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | -$195 | -$236 | -$282 | -$313 |
| $18 (-15%) | -$155 | -$203 | -$259 | -$313 |
| $19 (-10%) | -$110 | -$162 | -$228 | -$313 |
| $20 (-5%) | -$57 | -$114 | -$186 | -$313 |
| $21 (-2%) | -$24 | -$82 | -$157 | -$313 |
| $21 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$59 | -$135 | -$313 |
| $22 (+2%) | +$25 | -$34 | -$111 | -$292 |
| $22 (+5%) | +$64 | +$4 | -$74 | -$229 |
| $23 (+10%) | +$133 | +$73 | -$4 | -$122 |
| $24 (+13%) โ target | +$173 | +$113 | +$39 | -$63 |
| $24 (+15%) | +$206 | +$147 | +$74 | -$16 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$284 | +$227 | +$158 | +$91 |
Uses BMNR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.