Target Price Playground
BMNR
$21.28
๐ข
BMNR IV: 88.2% โ LOW
(-25.1% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $19 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.18 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BMNR hits $19 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-18 (-5.6%) on $318 risked, vs $-278 (-13.1%) for 100 shares on $2,128. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BMNR is at $19. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BMNR hits $19 by Jun 19
$-18
-5.6% on $318 risked
Max Profit
+$1,832
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$318
Premium paid
Break-even
$18.32
-13.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.81 / -2.18 / 3.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BMNR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | +$230 | +$195 | +$155 | +$130 |
| $18 (-15%) | +$163 | +$121 | +$71 | +$23 |
| $19 (-13%) โ target | +$139 | +$95 | +$41 | -$18 |
| $19 (-10%) | +$103 | +$56 | -$4 | -$83 |
| $20 (-5%) | +$48 | -$3 | -$69 | -$190 |
| $21 (-2%) | +$19 | -$34 | -$103 | -$253 |
| $21 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$53 | -$124 | -$296 |
| $22 (+2%) | -$18 | -$72 | -$143 | -$318 |
| $22 (+5%) | -$43 | -$97 | -$169 | -$318 |
| $23 (+10%) | -$81 | -$135 | -$206 | -$318 |
| $24 (+15%) | -$114 | -$167 | -$234 | -$318 |
| $26 (+20%) | -$143 | -$194 | -$257 | -$318 |
Uses BMNR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.