Target Price Playground
BMNR
$21.28
๐ข
BMNR IV: 87.3% โ LOW
(-25.8% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $25 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.13 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.18 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BMNR hits $25 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-331 (-52.5%) on $631 risked, vs +$322 (15.1%) for 100 shares on $2,128. Options give 3.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BMNR is at $25. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BMNR hits $25 by Jun 19
$-331
-52.5% on $631 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$631
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$15.19
-28.62% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.39 / -4.61 / 7.16
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BMNR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | +$36 | -$42 | -$127 | -$183 |
| $18 (-15%) | +$8 | -$82 | -$188 | -$290 |
| $19 (-10%) | -$7 | -$107 | -$232 | -$396 |
| $20 (-5%) | -$10 | -$117 | -$255 | -$503 |
| $21 (-2%) | -$5 | -$116 | -$260 | -$566 |
| $21 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$112 | -$259 | -$609 |
| $22 (+2%) | +$7 | -$106 | -$254 | -$610 |
| $22 (+5%) | +$21 | -$94 | -$243 | -$547 |
| $23 (+10%) | +$52 | -$63 | -$209 | -$440 |
| $25 (+15%) โ target | +$93 | -$19 | -$159 | -$331 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$141 | +$32 | -$98 | -$227 |
Uses BMNR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.