Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
BOX
$21.37
๐ŸŸข
BOX IV: 39.4% โ€” LOW (-46.5% vs 30d avg of 73.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG CALL ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.58 ยท ฮ” 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $23 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.49 ยท ฮ” 0.42
P&L at Expiry Now $21 Target $24 $15 $21 $28
Stock (100 sh) Bull Call Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If BOX hits $24 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$341 (178.4%) on $-191 credit (max loss $0), vs +$263 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $2,137. Options give 14.5ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BOX is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if BOX hits $24 by Jun 19
+$341
+178.4% on $191 max loss
Max Profit
+$150
If the stock โ‰ฅ $23 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$0
Net debit
Break-even
$
None% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
12.09 / 0.03 / -0.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

BOX Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$17 (-20%) +$201 +$197 +$192 +$191
$18 (-15%) +$210 +$203 +$195 +$191
$19 (-10%) +$221 +$215 +$204 +$191
$20 (-5%) +$235 +$230 +$220 +$191
$21 (-2%) +$244 +$240 +$233 +$191
$21 (0%) โ† spot +$250 +$248 +$243 +$191
$22 (+2%) +$256 +$255 +$253 +$221
$22 (+5%) +$265 +$267 +$269 +$285
$24 (+10%) +$280 +$285 +$293 +$341
$24 (+12%) โ† target +$287 +$292 +$303 +$341
$25 (+15%) +$294 +$300 +$313 +$341
$26 (+20%) +$305 +$313 +$326 +$341
Uses BOX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.