Target Price Playground
BOX
$21.37
๐ข
BOX IV: 39.4% โ LOW
(-46.5% vs 30d avg of 73.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $21 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $22 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.78 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $21 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.05 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BOX hits $21 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$79 (107.4%) on $73 risked, vs $-87 (-4.1%) for 100 shares on $2,137. Options give 26.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BOX is at $21. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BOX hits $21 by Jun 19
+$79
+107.4% on $73 risked
Max Profit
+$75
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$72
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$22.07
+3.3% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.86 / 0.15 / 0.89
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BOX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | +$22 | +$25 | +$27 | +$22 |
| $18 (-15%) | +$20 | +$25 | +$30 | +$28 |
| $19 (-10%) | +$16 | +$22 | +$31 | +$43 |
| $21 (-4%) โ target | +$7 | +$13 | +$23 | +$79 |
| $21 (-2%) | +$4 | +$9 | +$18 | +$53 |
| $21 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$4 | +$12 | +$30 |
| $22 (+2%) | -$4 | -$0 | +$5 | +$11 |
| $22 (+5%) | -$10 | -$8 | -$5 | -$13 |
| $24 (+10%) | -$20 | -$21 | -$23 | -$40 |
| $25 (+15%) | -$30 | -$33 | -$39 | -$57 |
| $26 (+20%) | -$39 | -$43 | -$51 | -$65 |
Uses BOX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.