Target Price Playground
BOX
$21.37
๐ข
BOX IV: 42.6% โ LOW
(-42.1% vs 30d avg of 73.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.59 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BOX hits $24 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$91 (57.6%) on $159 risked, vs +$263 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $2,137. Options give 4.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BOX is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BOX hits $24 by Jun 19
+$91
+57.6% on $159 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$159
Premium paid
Break-even
$23.09
+8.03% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.13 / -1.29 / 3.63
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BOX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | -$139 | -$150 | -$158 | -$159 |
| $18 (-15%) | -$121 | -$138 | -$153 | -$159 |
| $19 (-10%) | -$92 | -$116 | -$141 | -$159 |
| $20 (-5%) | -$52 | -$81 | -$115 | -$159 |
| $21 (-2%) | -$23 | -$53 | -$91 | -$159 |
| $21 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$31 | -$71 | -$159 |
| $22 (+2%) | +$24 | -$7 | -$47 | -$129 |
| $22 (+5%) | +$63 | +$32 | -$6 | -$65 |
| $24 (+10%) | +$137 | +$108 | +$74 | +$42 |
| $24 (+12%) โ target | +$174 | +$146 | +$116 | +$91 |
| $25 (+15%) | +$220 | +$194 | +$167 | +$149 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$308 | +$286 | +$266 | +$255 |
Uses BOX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.