Target Price Playground
BSY
$31.30
๐ข
BSY IV: 41.5% โ LOW
(-21.7% vs 30d avg of 53.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $28 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $31 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.11 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.25 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BSY hits $28 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$114 (132.6%) on $86 risked, vs $-330 (-10.5%) for 100 shares on $3,130. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BSY is at $28. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BSY hits $28 by Jun 19
+$114
+132.6% on $86 risked
Max Profit
+$114
If the stock โค $29 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$86
Net debit
Break-even
$30.14
-3.71% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.9 / -0.15 / 0.62
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BSY Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $25 (-20%) | +$80 | +$89 | +$103 | +$114 |
| $27 (-15%) | +$63 | +$71 | +$85 | +$114 |
| $28 (-11%) โ target | +$45 | +$50 | +$61 | +$114 |
| $30 (-5%) | +$21 | +$21 | +$22 | +$41 |
| $31 (-2%) | +$8 | +$6 | +$1 | -$53 |
| $31 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$4 | -$13 | -$86 |
| $32 (+2%) | -$8 | -$14 | -$26 | -$86 |
| $33 (+5%) | -$19 | -$27 | -$42 | -$86 |
| $34 (+10%) | -$36 | -$45 | -$62 | -$86 |
| $36 (+15%) | -$49 | -$59 | -$74 | -$86 |
| $38 (+20%) | -$60 | -$69 | -$81 | -$86 |
Uses BSY's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.