Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
BSY
$31.30
๐ŸŸข
BSY IV: 41.5% โ€” LOW (-21.7% vs 30d avg of 53.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $33 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.25 ยท ฮ” -0.3
P&L at Expiry Now $31 Target $33 $22 $31 $41
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If BSY hits $33 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$125 (4.5%) on $-125 credit (max loss $2,775), vs +$170 (5.4%) for 100 shares on $3,130. Options give 0.8ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BSY is at $33. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if BSY hits $33 by Jun 19
+$125
+4.5% on $2,775 max loss
Max Profit
+$125
If the stock โ‰ฅ $29 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$2,775
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$27.75
-11.34% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
78%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
29.6 / 1.42 / -4.63
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

BSY Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$25 (-20%) -$318 -$298 -$277 -$271
$27 (-15%) -$212 -$183 -$148 -$114
$28 (-10%) -$124 -$90 -$44 +$42
$30 (-5%) -$54 -$18 +$30 +$125
$31 (-2%) -$20 +$16 +$61 +$125
$31 (0%) โ† spot +$0 +$34 +$77 +$125
$32 (+2%) +$18 +$50 +$89 +$125
$33 (+5%) โ† target +$43 +$72 +$104 +$125
$34 (+10%) +$68 +$93 +$116 +$125
$36 (+15%) +$88 +$107 +$121 +$125
$38 (+20%) +$101 +$115 +$124 +$125
Uses BSY's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.