Target Price Playground
BSY
$31.30
๐ข
BSY IV: 41.5% โ LOW
(-21.7% vs 30d avg of 53.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $35 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $31 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.66 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BSY hits $35 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$134 (50.1%) on $266 risked, vs +$370 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $3,130. Options give 4.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BSY is at $35. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BSY hits $35 by Jun 19
+$134
+50.1% on $266 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$266
Premium paid
Break-even
$33.66
+7.55% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.5 / -1.95 / 5.26
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BSY Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $25 (-20%) | -$227 | -$247 | -$262 | -$266 |
| $27 (-15%) | -$194 | -$223 | -$252 | -$266 |
| $28 (-10%) | -$146 | -$184 | -$228 | -$266 |
| $30 (-5%) | -$82 | -$126 | -$181 | -$266 |
| $31 (-2%) | -$34 | -$81 | -$139 | -$266 |
| $31 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$46 | -$106 | -$236 |
| $32 (+2%) | +$38 | -$9 | -$68 | -$173 |
| $33 (+5%) | +$98 | +$52 | -$4 | -$79 |
| $34 (+10%) | +$210 | +$167 | +$119 | +$77 |
| $35 (+12%) โ target | +$253 | +$213 | +$168 | +$134 |
| $36 (+15%) | +$333 | +$295 | +$257 | +$233 |
| $38 (+20%) | +$466 | +$434 | +$405 | +$390 |
Uses BSY's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.