Target Price Playground
C
$124.39
๐ข
C IV: 34.2% โ LOW
(-40.3% vs 30d avg of 57.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.62 ยท ฮ 0.53
SHORT CALL ยท $135 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.08 ยท ฮ 0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If C hits $140 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$546 (120.3%) on $454 risked, vs +$1,561 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $12,439. Options give 9.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if C is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if C hits $140 by Jun 19
+$546
+120.3% on $454 risked
Max Profit
+$546
If the stock โฅ $135 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$454
Net debit
Break-even
$129.54
+4.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
22.59 / -1.16 / 1.49
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| C Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 (-20%) | -$420 | -$440 | -$453 | -$454 |
| $106 (-15%) | -$375 | -$410 | -$444 | -$454 |
| $112 (-10%) | -$302 | -$346 | -$409 | -$454 |
| $118 (-5%) | -$201 | -$241 | -$315 | -$454 |
| $122 (-2%) | -$130 | -$161 | -$223 | -$454 |
| $124 (0%) โ spot | -$80 | -$101 | -$148 | -$454 |
| $127 (+2%) | -$29 | -$40 | -$66 | -$266 |
| $131 (+5%) | +$48 | +$54 | +$63 | +$107 |
| $137 (+10%) | +$170 | +$201 | +$260 | +$546 |
| $140 (+13%) โ target | +$227 | +$266 | +$340 | +$546 |
| $143 (+15%) | +$276 | +$322 | +$402 | +$546 |
| $149 (+20%) | +$360 | +$410 | +$483 | +$546 |
Uses C's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.