Target Price Playground
C
$124.39
๐ข
C IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-38.4% vs 30d avg of 57.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $110 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.42 ยท ฮ -0.47
SHORT PUT ยท $115 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.55 ยท ฮ -0.27
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If C hits $110 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$613 (158.4%) on $387 risked, vs $-1,439 (-11.6%) for 100 shares on $12,439. Options give 13.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if C is at $110. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if C hits $110 by Jun 19
+$613
+158.4% on $387 risked
Max Profit
+$613
If the stock โค $115 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$387
Net debit
Break-even
$121.13
-2.62% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-19.8 / -0.51 / 3.64
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| C Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 (-20%) | +$505 | +$546 | +$593 | +$613 |
| $106 (-15%) | +$414 | +$460 | +$534 | +$613 |
| $110 (-12%) โ target | +$333 | +$374 | +$448 | +$613 |
| $112 (-10%) | +$293 | +$328 | +$395 | +$613 |
| $118 (-5%) | +$156 | +$164 | +$182 | +$296 |
| $122 (-2%) | +$73 | +$64 | +$44 | -$77 |
| $124 (0%) โ spot | +$20 | -$0 | -$42 | -$326 |
| $127 (+2%) | -$31 | -$60 | -$120 | -$387 |
| $131 (+5%) | -$100 | -$140 | -$215 | -$387 |
| $137 (+10%) | -$196 | -$243 | -$316 | -$387 |
| $143 (+15%) | -$267 | -$310 | -$362 | -$387 |
| $149 (+20%) | -$315 | -$349 | -$380 | -$387 |
Uses C's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.