Target Price Playground
C
$124.39
๐ข
C IV: 34.2% โ LOW
(-40.3% vs 30d avg of 57.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $120 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.71 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.3 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If C hits $120 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$387 (113.5%) on $341 risked, vs $-439 (-3.5%) for 100 shares on $12,439. Options give 32.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if C is at $120. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if C hits $120 by Jun 19
+$387
+113.5% on $341 risked
Max Profit
+$377
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$340
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$127.64
+2.61% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.72 / 0.86 / 4.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| C Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 (-20%) | +$126 | +$134 | +$133 | +$119 |
| $106 (-15%) | +$120 | +$139 | +$155 | +$134 |
| $112 (-10%) | +$99 | +$126 | +$167 | +$188 |
| $118 (-5%) | +$59 | +$88 | +$139 | +$323 |
| $120 (-4%) โ target | +$45 | +$72 | +$121 | +$385 |
| $122 (-2%) | +$28 | +$53 | +$98 | +$270 |
| $124 (0%) โ spot | +$5 | +$25 | +$61 | +$138 |
| $127 (+2%) | -$19 | -$5 | +$19 | +$27 |
| $131 (+5%) | -$57 | -$52 | -$48 | -$102 |
| $137 (+10%) | -$120 | -$130 | -$153 | -$236 |
| $143 (+15%) | -$178 | -$197 | -$233 | -$301 |
| $149 (+20%) | -$225 | -$249 | -$284 | -$327 |
Uses C's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.