Target Price Playground
C
$124.39
๐ข
C IV: 34.2% โ LOW
(-40.3% vs 30d avg of 57.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.62 ยท ฮ 0.53
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If C hits $140 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$738 (96.9%) on $762 risked, vs +$1,561 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $12,439. Options give 7.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if C is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if C hits $140 by Jun 19
+$738
+96.9% on $762 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$762
Premium paid
Break-even
$132.62
+6.62% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
53.03 / -5.72 / 21.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| C Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 (-20%) | -$715 | -$745 | -$761 | -$762 |
| $106 (-15%) | -$644 | -$706 | -$752 | -$762 |
| $112 (-10%) | -$514 | -$613 | -$711 | -$762 |
| $118 (-5%) | -$308 | -$438 | -$593 | -$762 |
| $122 (-2%) | -$143 | -$286 | -$463 | -$762 |
| $124 (0%) โ spot | -$16 | -$163 | -$349 | -$762 |
| $127 (+2%) | +$125 | -$24 | -$211 | -$574 |
| $131 (+5%) | +$359 | +$214 | +$36 | -$201 |
| $137 (+10%) | +$808 | +$678 | +$535 | +$421 |
| $140 (+13%) โ target | +$1,060 | +$941 | +$819 | +$738 |
| $143 (+15%) | +$1,315 | +$1,207 | +$1,105 | +$1,043 |
| $149 (+20%) | +$1,865 | +$1,779 | +$1,708 | +$1,665 |
Uses C's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.