Target Price Playground
C
$124.39
๐ข
C IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-38.4% vs 30d avg of 57.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $110 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.42 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If C hits $110 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$758 (102.2%) on $742 risked, vs $-1,439 (-11.6%) for 100 shares on $12,439. Options give 8.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if C is at $110. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if C hits $110 by Jun 19
+$758
+102.2% on $742 risked
Max Profit
+$11,758
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$742
Premium paid
Break-even
$117.58
-5.47% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-47.08 / -5.24 / 21.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| C Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 (-20%) | +$1,752 | +$1,754 | +$1,773 | +$1,807 |
| $106 (-15%) | +$1,200 | +$1,172 | +$1,160 | +$1,185 |
| $110 (-12%) โ target | +$855 | +$801 | +$755 | +$758 |
| $112 (-10%) | +$708 | +$643 | +$579 | +$563 |
| $118 (-5%) | +$292 | +$196 | +$75 | -$59 |
| $122 (-2%) | +$84 | -$25 | -$169 | -$432 |
| $124 (0%) โ spot | -$38 | -$151 | -$303 | -$681 |
| $127 (+2%) | -$146 | -$261 | -$414 | -$742 |
| $131 (+5%) | -$284 | -$396 | -$540 | -$742 |
| $137 (+10%) | -$458 | -$554 | -$663 | -$742 |
| $143 (+15%) | -$573 | -$647 | -$716 | -$742 |
| $149 (+20%) | -$645 | -$697 | -$734 | -$742 |
Uses C's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.