Target Price Playground
C
$124.39
๐ข
C IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-38.4% vs 30d avg of 57.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $124.39 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If C hits $140 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$1,561 (12.5%) on $12,439 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if C hits $140 by Jun 19
+$1,561
+12.5% on $12,439 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$12,439
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$124.39
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| C Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $100 (-20%) | -$2,488 | -$2,488 | -$2,488 |
| $106 (-15%) | -$1,866 | -$1,866 | -$1,866 |
| $112 (-10%) | -$1,244 | -$1,244 | -$1,244 |
| $118 (-5%) | -$622 | -$622 | -$622 |
| $122 (-2%) | -$249 | -$249 | -$249 |
| $124 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $127 (+2%) | +$249 | +$249 | +$249 |
| $131 (+5%) | +$622 | +$622 | +$622 |
| $137 (+10%) | +$1,244 | +$1,244 | +$1,244 |
| $140 (+13%) โ target | +$1,561 | +$1,561 | +$1,561 |
| $143 (+15%) | +$1,866 | +$1,866 | +$1,866 |
| $149 (+20%) | +$2,488 | +$2,488 | +$2,488 |
Uses C's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.