Target Price Playground
C
$124.39
๐ข
C IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-38.4% vs 30d avg of 57.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $135 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $124.39 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.3 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If C hits $135 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$531 (4.1%) on $12,969 risked, vs +$1,061 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $12,439. Options give 0.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if C is at $135. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if C hits $135 by Jun 19
+$531
+4.1% on $12,969 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$969
Put floors you at $120
Break-even
$129.69
+4.26% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
56%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.49 / -5.08 / 20.42
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| C Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 (-20%) | -$982 | -$998 | -$998 | -$969 |
| $106 (-15%) | -$873 | -$925 | -$971 | -$969 |
| $112 (-10%) | -$689 | -$775 | -$879 | -$969 |
| $118 (-5%) | -$417 | -$524 | -$666 | -$969 |
| $122 (-2%) | -$211 | -$321 | -$468 | -$779 |
| $124 (0%) โ spot | -$56 | -$165 | -$307 | -$530 |
| $127 (+2%) | +$111 | +$6 | -$126 | -$281 |
| $131 (+5%) | +$382 | +$288 | +$178 | +$92 |
| $135 (+9%) โ target | +$731 | +$651 | +$570 | +$531 |
| $137 (+10%) | +$884 | +$811 | +$742 | +$714 |
| $143 (+15%) | +$1,431 | +$1,381 | +$1,344 | +$1,336 |
| $149 (+20%) | +$2,009 | +$1,977 | +$1,960 | +$1,958 |
Uses C's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.