Target Price Playground
C
$124.39
๐ข
C IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-38.4% vs 30d avg of 57.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.62 ยท ฮ 0.53
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.42 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If C hits $145 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$496 (33.0%) on $1,504 risked, vs +$2,061 (16.6%) for 100 shares on $12,439. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if C is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if C hits $145 by Jun 19
+$496
+33.0% on $1,504 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,504
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$109.96
-11.6% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
26%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
5.95 / -10.96 / 42.02
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| C Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 (-20%) | +$1,037 | +$1,009 | +$1,012 | +$1,045 |
| $106 (-15%) | +$556 | +$467 | +$408 | +$423 |
| $112 (-10%) | +$193 | +$31 | -$132 | -$199 |
| $118 (-5%) | -$16 | -$242 | -$518 | -$821 |
| $122 (-2%) | -$59 | -$310 | -$632 | -$1,194 |
| $124 (0%) โ spot | -$54 | -$314 | -$652 | -$1,443 |
| $127 (+2%) | -$21 | -$285 | -$625 | -$1,316 |
| $131 (+5%) | +$75 | -$182 | -$504 | -$943 |
| $137 (+10%) | +$351 | +$124 | -$128 | -$321 |
| $143 (+15%) | +$742 | +$561 | +$389 | +$301 |
| $145 (+17%) โ target | +$884 | +$717 | +$568 | +$496 |
| $149 (+20%) | +$1,220 | +$1,083 | +$973 | +$923 |
Uses C's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.