Target Price Playground
C
$124.39
๐ข
C IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-38.4% vs 30d avg of 57.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $135 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $124.39 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $135 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.08 ยท ฮ 0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If C hits $135 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$1,369 (11.3%) on $12,131 risked, vs +$1,061 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $12,439. Options give 1.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if C is at $135. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if C hits $135 by Jun 19
+$1,369
+11.3% on $12,131 risked
Max Profit
+$1,369
If the stock โฅ $135 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$12,131
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$121.31
-2.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
56%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
69.57 / 4.56 / -19.52
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| C Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 (-20%) | -$2,193 | -$2,183 | -$2,180 | -$2,180 |
| $106 (-15%) | -$1,597 | -$1,570 | -$1,559 | -$1,558 |
| $112 (-10%) | -$1,032 | -$978 | -$942 | -$936 |
| $118 (-5%) | -$515 | -$425 | -$344 | -$314 |
| $122 (-2%) | -$236 | -$124 | -$8 | +$59 |
| $124 (0%) โ spot | -$64 | +$62 | +$201 | +$308 |
| $127 (+2%) | +$96 | +$233 | +$394 | +$557 |
| $131 (+5%) | +$311 | +$462 | +$649 | +$930 |
| $135 (+9%) โ target | +$527 | +$687 | +$888 | +$1,369 |
| $137 (+10%) | +$606 | +$766 | +$969 | +$1,369 |
| $143 (+15%) | +$827 | +$980 | +$1,163 | +$1,369 |
| $149 (+20%) | +$983 | +$1,119 | +$1,263 | +$1,369 |
Uses C's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.