Target Price Playground
CCC
$4.99
๐ข
CCC IV: 49.6% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 69.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.15 ยท ฮ -0.1
SHORT PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.35 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CCC hits $5 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$70 (349.3%) on $-20 credit (max loss $0), vs $-49 (-9.8%) for 100 shares on $499. Options give 35.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CCC is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CCC hits $5 by Jun 19
+$70
+349.3% on $20 max loss
Max Profit
+$50
If the stock โค $4 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$0
Net debit
Break-even
$
None% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
20.25 / 0.27 / 0.33
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CCC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | +$57 | +$59 | +$62 | +$70 |
| $4 (-15%) | +$54 | +$55 | +$58 | +$70 |
| $5 (-10%) โ target | +$51 | +$51 | +$52 | +$70 |
| $5 (-5%) | +$47 | +$47 | +$47 | +$46 |
| $5 (-2%) | +$45 | +$45 | +$43 | +$31 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | +$44 | +$43 | +$41 | +$21 |
| $5 (+2%) | +$43 | +$41 | +$39 | +$20 |
| $5 (+5%) | +$41 | +$39 | +$36 | +$20 |
| $5 (+10%) | +$38 | +$36 | +$32 | +$20 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$35 | +$33 | +$28 | +$20 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$33 | +$30 | +$26 | +$20 |
Uses CCC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.