Target Price Playground
CCC
$4.99
๐ข
CCC IV: 49.6% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 69.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.35 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CCC hits $5 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$35 (8.4%) on $-35 credit (max loss $415), vs +$1 (0.2%) for 100 shares on $499. Options give 42.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CCC is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CCC hits $5 by Jun 19
+$35
+8.4% on $415 max loss
Max Profit
+$35
If the stock โฅ $4 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$415
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$4.15
-16.84% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
99%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
30.26 / 0.38 / -0.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CCC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$44 | -$36 | -$26 | -$16 |
| $4 (-15%) | -$30 | -$21 | -$10 | +$9 |
| $4 (-10%) | -$18 | -$9 | +$3 | +$34 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$8 | +$1 | +$13 | +$35 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$3 | +$6 | +$18 | +$35 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot โ target | +$0 | +$9 | +$21 | +$35 |
| $5 (+2%) | +$3 | +$12 | +$23 | +$35 |
| $5 (+5%) | +$7 | +$15 | +$26 | +$35 |
| $5 (+10%) | +$12 | +$20 | +$29 | +$35 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$17 | +$24 | +$31 | +$35 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$21 | +$27 | +$33 | +$35 |
Uses CCC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.