Target Price Playground
CCC
$4.99
๐ข
CCC IV: 49.6% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 69.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $4.99 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.43 ยท ฮ 0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CCC hits $6 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$94 (20.6%) on $456 risked, vs +$51 (10.2%) for 100 shares on $499. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CCC is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CCC hits $6 by Jun 19
+$94
+20.6% on $456 risked
Max Profit
+$94
If the stock โฅ $6 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$456
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$4.56
-8.64% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.43 / 0.47 / -0.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CCC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$68 | -$63 | -$58 | -$57 |
| $4 (-15%) | -$49 | -$42 | -$35 | -$32 |
| $4 (-10%) | -$31 | -$22 | -$13 | -$7 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$15 | -$5 | +$7 | +$18 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$6 | +$5 | +$18 | +$33 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$11 | +$25 | +$43 |
| $5 (+2%) | +$5 | +$17 | +$32 | +$53 |
| $5 (+5%) | +$13 | +$25 | +$41 | +$68 |
| $6 (+10%) โ target | +$25 | +$38 | +$54 | +$94 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$35 | +$47 | +$64 | +$94 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$43 | +$56 | +$72 | +$94 |
Uses CCC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.