Target Price Playground
CCC
$4.99
๐ข
CCC IV: 49.6% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 69.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $4.99 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.35 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CCC hits $6 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$16 (3.0%) on $534 risked, vs +$51 (10.2%) for 100 shares on $499. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CCC is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CCC hits $6 by Jun 19
+$16
+3.0% on $534 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$84
Put floors you at $4
Break-even
$5.34
+7.02% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
69.74 / -0.38 / 0.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CCC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$56 | -$64 | -$74 | -$84 |
| $4 (-15%) | -$45 | -$54 | -$65 | -$84 |
| $4 (-10%) | -$32 | -$41 | -$53 | -$84 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$17 | -$26 | -$38 | -$60 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$7 | -$16 | -$28 | -$45 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$9 | -$20 | -$35 |
| $5 (+2%) | +$7 | -$2 | -$13 | -$25 |
| $5 (+5%) | +$18 | +$10 | -$1 | -$10 |
| $6 (+10%) โ target | +$38 | +$30 | +$22 | +$16 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$58 | +$51 | +$44 | +$40 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$79 | +$73 | +$67 | +$65 |
Uses CCC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.