Target Price Playground
CDNS
$265.66
๐ข
CDNS IV: 42.7% โ LOW
(-43.5% vs 30d avg of 75.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $265.66 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CDNS hits $300 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$3,434 (12.9%) on $26,566 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CDNS hits $300 by Jun 19
+$3,434
+12.9% on $26,566 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$26,566
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$265.66
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CDNS Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $213 (-20%) | -$5,313 | -$5,313 | -$5,313 |
| $226 (-15%) | -$3,985 | -$3,985 | -$3,985 |
| $239 (-10%) | -$2,657 | -$2,657 | -$2,657 |
| $252 (-5%) | -$1,328 | -$1,328 | -$1,328 |
| $260 (-2%) | -$531 | -$531 | -$531 |
| $266 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $271 (+2%) | +$531 | +$531 | +$531 |
| $279 (+5%) | +$1,328 | +$1,328 | +$1,328 |
| $292 (+10%) | +$2,657 | +$2,657 | +$2,657 |
| $300 (+13%) โ target | +$3,434 | +$3,434 | +$3,434 |
| $306 (+15%) | +$3,985 | +$3,985 | +$3,985 |
| $319 (+20%) | +$5,313 | +$5,313 | +$5,313 |
Uses CDNS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.