Target Price Playground
CLSK
$10.02
๐ข
CLSK IV: 86.0% โ LOW
(-34.8% vs 30d avg of 131.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $11 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $9 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.92 ยท ฮ -0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CLSK hits $11 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$92 (11.4%) on $-92 credit (max loss $808), vs +$48 (4.8%) for 100 shares on $1,002. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CLSK is at $11. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CLSK hits $11 by Jun 19
+$92
+11.4% on $808 max loss
Max Profit
+$92
If the stock โฅ $9 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$808
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$8.08
-19.36% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
90%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
31.67 / 0.98 / -1.59
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CLSK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | -$88 | -$67 | -$41 | -$6 |
| $9 (-15%) | -$62 | -$40 | -$11 | +$44 |
| $9 (-10%) | -$40 | -$17 | +$13 | +$92 |
| $10 (-5%) | -$21 | +$3 | +$33 | +$92 |
| $10 (-2%) | -$11 | +$13 | +$43 | +$92 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | -$4 | +$19 | +$49 | +$92 |
| $10 (+2%) | +$2 | +$25 | +$54 | +$92 |
| $11 (+5%) โ target | +$10 | +$32 | +$61 | +$92 |
| $11 (+10%) | +$23 | +$44 | +$70 | +$92 |
| $12 (+15%) | +$33 | +$54 | +$77 | +$92 |
| $12 (+20%) | +$42 | +$61 | +$81 | +$92 |
Uses CLSK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.