Target Price Playground
CLSK
$10.02
๐ข
CLSK IV: 86.0% โ LOW
(-34.8% vs 30d avg of 131.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $11 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $10.02 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $11 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.17 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CLSK hits $11 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$215 (24.3%) on $885 risked, vs +$98 (9.8%) for 100 shares on $1,002. Options give 2.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CLSK is at $11. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CLSK hits $11 by Jun 19
+$215
+24.3% on $885 risked
Max Profit
+$215
If the stock โฅ $11 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$885
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$8.85
-11.68% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
51.83 / 1.14 / -1.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CLSK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | -$126 | -$108 | -$91 | -$83 |
| $9 (-15%) | -$91 | -$70 | -$47 | -$33 |
| $9 (-10%) | -$59 | -$35 | -$7 | +$17 |
| $10 (-5%) | -$29 | -$2 | +$30 | +$67 |
| $10 (-2%) | -$12 | +$15 | +$50 | +$97 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | -$2 | +$27 | +$63 | +$117 |
| $10 (+2%) | +$8 | +$37 | +$75 | +$137 |
| $11 (+5%) | +$22 | +$52 | +$91 | +$167 |
| $11 (+10%) โ target | +$43 | +$74 | +$115 | +$215 |
| $12 (+15%) | +$64 | +$95 | +$136 | +$215 |
| $12 (+20%) | +$81 | +$113 | +$153 | +$215 |
Uses CLSK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.