Target Price Playground
CLSK
$10.02
๐ข
CLSK IV: 86.0% โ LOW
(-34.8% vs 30d avg of 131.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $9 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $10 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.48 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CLSK hits $9 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-48 (-32.4%) on $148 risked, vs $-102 (-10.2%) for 100 shares on $1,002. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CLSK is at $9. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CLSK hits $9 by Jun 19
$-48
-32.4% on $148 risked
Max Profit
+$852
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$148
Premium paid
Break-even
$8.52
-14.97% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.13 / -1.06 / 1.69
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CLSK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | +$104 | +$86 | +$65 | +$50 |
| $9 (-15%) | +$73 | +$52 | +$27 | +$0 |
| $9 (-10%) โ target | +$47 | +$24 | -$6 | -$48 |
| $10 (-5%) | +$21 | -$4 | -$36 | -$100 |
| $10 (-2%) | +$8 | -$18 | -$51 | -$130 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$27 | -$61 | -$148 |
| $10 (+2%) | -$9 | -$35 | -$69 | -$148 |
| $11 (+5%) | -$20 | -$47 | -$81 | -$148 |
| $11 (+10%) | -$37 | -$64 | -$97 | -$148 |
| $12 (+15%) | -$52 | -$78 | -$110 | -$148 |
| $12 (+20%) | -$66 | -$90 | -$120 | -$148 |
Uses CLSK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.