Target Price Playground
CLSK
$10.02
๐ข
CLSK IV: 86.0% โ LOW
(-34.8% vs 30d avg of 131.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $11 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $10.02 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $10 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.2 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CLSK hits $11 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-22 (-2.0%) on $1,122 risked, vs +$98 (9.8%) for 100 shares on $1,002. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CLSK is at $11. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CLSK hits $11 by Jun 19
$-22
-2.0% on $1,122 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$172
Put floors you at $10
Break-even
$11.22
+12.01% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.77 / -1.02 / 1.61
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CLSK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | -$105 | -$125 | -$148 | -$172 |
| $9 (-15%) | -$83 | -$105 | -$133 | -$172 |
| $9 (-10%) | -$58 | -$82 | -$112 | -$172 |
| $10 (-5%) | -$30 | -$55 | -$87 | -$170 |
| $10 (-2%) | -$12 | -$37 | -$70 | -$140 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$25 | -$57 | -$120 |
| $10 (+2%) | +$13 | -$12 | -$44 | -$100 |
| $11 (+5%) | +$33 | +$9 | -$23 | -$70 |
| $11 (+10%) โ target | +$67 | +$43 | +$13 | -$22 |
| $12 (+15%) | +$106 | +$83 | +$55 | +$30 |
| $12 (+20%) | +$145 | +$123 | +$98 | +$80 |
Uses CLSK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.