Target Price Playground
CMCSA
$27.93
๐ข
CMCSA IV: 30.6% โ LOW
(-53.1% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $25 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $28 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.38 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.78 ยท ฮ -0.28
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CMCSA hits $25 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$140 (234.8%) on $60 risked, vs $-343 (-12.3%) for 100 shares on $2,793. Options give 19.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CMCSA is at $25. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CMCSA hits $25 by Jun 19
+$140
+234.8% on $60 risked
Max Profit
+$140
If the stock โค $26 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$60
Net debit
Break-even
$27.40
-1.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
35%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-17.83 / 0.1 / 0.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CMCSA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | +$123 | +$131 | +$138 | +$140 |
| $24 (-15%) | +$105 | +$115 | +$129 | +$140 |
| $25 (-12%) โ target | +$92 | +$102 | +$117 | +$140 |
| $25 (-10%) | +$80 | +$88 | +$102 | +$140 |
| $27 (-5%) | +$50 | +$52 | +$57 | +$87 |
| $27 (-2%) | +$31 | +$30 | +$26 | +$3 |
| $28 (0%) โ spot | +$19 | +$15 | +$7 | -$53 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$8 | +$2 | -$10 | -$60 |
| $29 (+5%) | -$7 | -$15 | -$30 | -$60 |
| $31 (+10%) | -$27 | -$36 | -$49 | -$60 |
| $32 (+15%) | -$41 | -$49 | -$57 | -$60 |
| $34 (+20%) | -$50 | -$55 | -$59 | -$60 |
Uses CMCSA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.