Target Price Playground
CMCSA
$27.93
๐ข
CMCSA IV: 30.6% โ LOW
(-53.1% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $31 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $28 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.54 ยท ฮ 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $30 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.82 ยท ฮ 0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CMCSA hits $31 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$128 (178.7%) on $72 risked, vs +$307 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $2,793. Options give 16.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CMCSA is at $31. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CMCSA hits $31 by Jun 19
+$128
+178.7% on $72 risked
Max Profit
+$128
If the stock โฅ $30 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$72
Net debit
Break-even
$28.72
+2.82% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
40%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
20.59 / -0.17 / 0.45
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CMCSA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$67 | -$70 | -$72 | -$72 |
| $24 (-15%) | -$59 | -$65 | -$71 | -$72 |
| $25 (-10%) | -$44 | -$53 | -$65 | -$72 |
| $27 (-5%) | -$22 | -$31 | -$46 | -$72 |
| $27 (-2%) | -$6 | -$13 | -$25 | -$72 |
| $28 (0%) โ spot | +$5 | +$1 | -$9 | -$72 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$17 | +$15 | +$10 | -$23 |
| $29 (+5%) | +$34 | +$36 | +$39 | +$61 |
| $31 (+10%) | +$60 | +$67 | +$81 | +$128 |
| $31 (+11%) โ target | +$65 | +$73 | +$87 | +$128 |
| $32 (+15%) | +$83 | +$92 | +$108 | +$128 |
| $34 (+20%) | +$99 | +$108 | +$121 | +$128 |
Uses CMCSA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.