Target Price Playground
CMCSA
$27.93
๐ข
CMCSA IV: 30.6% โ LOW
(-53.1% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $27.93 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $30 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.82 ยท ฮ 0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CMCSA hits $30 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$289 (10.7%) on $2,711 risked, vs +$207 (7.4%) for 100 shares on $2,793. Options give 1.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CMCSA is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CMCSA hits $30 by Jun 19
+$289
+10.7% on $2,711 risked
Max Profit
+$289
If the stock โฅ $30 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,711
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$27.11
-2.94% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
66.24 / 1.09 / -4.3
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CMCSA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$479 | -$477 | -$477 | -$477 |
| $24 (-15%) | -$343 | -$339 | -$337 | -$337 |
| $25 (-10%) | -$214 | -$204 | -$198 | -$197 |
| $27 (-5%) | -$97 | -$79 | -$63 | -$58 |
| $27 (-2%) | -$33 | -$11 | +$13 | +$26 |
| $28 (0%) โ spot | +$5 | +$31 | +$59 | +$82 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$41 | +$69 | +$102 | +$138 |
| $29 (+5%) | +$88 | +$119 | +$157 | +$222 |
| $30 (+7%) โ target | +$120 | +$152 | +$193 | +$289 |
| $31 (+10%) | +$150 | +$182 | +$222 | +$289 |
| $32 (+15%) | +$194 | +$224 | +$258 | +$289 |
| $34 (+20%) | +$223 | +$248 | +$273 | +$289 |
Uses CMCSA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.