Target Price Playground
CMCSA
$27.93
๐ข
CMCSA IV: 30.6% โ LOW
(-53.1% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $27 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $28 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.61 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.93 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CMCSA hits $27 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$77 (113.7%) on $68 risked, vs $-93 (-3.3%) for 100 shares on $2,793. Options give 34.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CMCSA is at $27. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CMCSA hits $27 by Jun 19
+$77
+113.7% on $68 risked
Max Profit
+$73
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$68
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$28.52
+2.11% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.6 / 0.15 / 1.2
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CMCSA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | +$25 | +$25 | +$25 | +$23 |
| $24 (-15%) | +$24 | +$27 | +$29 | +$25 |
| $25 (-10%) | +$20 | +$25 | +$33 | +$34 |
| $27 (-5%) | +$12 | +$18 | +$28 | +$62 |
| $27 (-3%) โ target | +$8 | +$14 | +$24 | +$77 |
| $27 (-2%) | +$5 | +$10 | +$19 | +$55 |
| $28 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$4 | +$11 | +$25 |
| $28 (+2%) | -$6 | -$3 | +$1 | +$1 |
| $29 (+5%) | -$14 | -$14 | -$14 | -$26 |
| $31 (+10%) | -$28 | -$31 | -$36 | -$52 |
| $32 (+15%) | -$40 | -$44 | -$52 | -$63 |
| $34 (+20%) | -$50 | -$54 | -$61 | -$67 |
Uses CMCSA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.