Target Price Playground
CMCSA
$27.93
๐ข
CMCSA IV: 30.6% โ LOW
(-53.1% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $25 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $28 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.38 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CMCSA hits $25 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$212 (154.1%) on $138 risked, vs $-343 (-12.3%) for 100 shares on $2,793. Options give 12.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CMCSA is at $25. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CMCSA hits $25 by Jun 19
+$212
+154.1% on $138 risked
Max Profit
+$2,662
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$138
Premium paid
Break-even
$26.62
-4.68% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
35%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.64 / -0.91 / 4.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CMCSA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | +$412 | +$414 | +$420 | +$428 |
| $24 (-15%) | +$284 | +$281 | +$281 | +$288 |
| $25 (-12%) โ target | +$220 | +$213 | +$208 | +$212 |
| $25 (-10%) | +$170 | +$158 | +$148 | +$148 |
| $27 (-5%) | +$74 | +$56 | +$33 | +$9 |
| $27 (-2%) | +$27 | +$6 | -$23 | -$75 |
| $28 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$23 | -$53 | -$131 |
| $28 (+2%) | -$24 | -$47 | -$77 | -$138 |
| $29 (+5%) | -$54 | -$76 | -$103 | -$138 |
| $31 (+10%) | -$90 | -$107 | -$126 | -$138 |
| $32 (+15%) | -$112 | -$124 | -$135 | -$138 |
| $34 (+20%) | -$124 | -$132 | -$137 | -$138 |
Uses CMCSA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.