Target Price Playground
CMCSA
$27.93
๐ข
CMCSA IV: 30.6% โ LOW
(-53.1% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $31 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $27.93 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.93 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CMCSA hits $31 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$214 (7.4%) on $2,886 risked, vs +$307 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $2,793. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CMCSA is at $31. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CMCSA hits $31 by Jun 19
+$214
+7.4% on $2,886 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$186
Put floors you at $27
Break-even
$28.86
+3.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
40%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.05 / -0.88 / 4.43
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CMCSA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$196 | -$196 | -$193 | -$186 |
| $24 (-15%) | -$176 | -$184 | -$190 | -$186 |
| $25 (-10%) | -$139 | -$155 | -$173 | -$186 |
| $27 (-5%) | -$81 | -$102 | -$130 | -$186 |
| $27 (-2%) | -$35 | -$57 | -$86 | -$149 |
| $28 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$22 | -$50 | -$93 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$38 | +$17 | -$8 | -$37 |
| $29 (+5%) | +$100 | +$82 | +$61 | +$47 |
| $31 (+10%) | +$215 | +$202 | +$190 | +$186 |
| $31 (+11%) โ target | +$239 | +$227 | +$217 | +$214 |
| $32 (+15%) | +$340 | +$332 | +$327 | +$326 |
| $34 (+20%) | +$473 | +$468 | +$466 | +$466 |
Uses CMCSA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.