Target Price Playground
CMCSA
$27.93
๐ข
CMCSA IV: 30.6% โ LOW
(-53.1% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $31 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $28 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.54 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CMCSA hits $31 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$146 (95.1%) on $154 risked, vs +$307 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $2,793. Options give 8.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CMCSA is at $31. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CMCSA hits $31 by Jun 19
+$146
+95.1% on $154 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$154
Premium paid
Break-even
$29.54
+5.76% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
40%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.36 / -1.25 / 4.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CMCSA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$147 | -$152 | -$154 | -$154 |
| $24 (-15%) | -$135 | -$146 | -$153 | -$154 |
| $25 (-10%) | -$109 | -$128 | -$146 | -$154 |
| $27 (-5%) | -$66 | -$92 | -$122 | -$154 |
| $27 (-2%) | -$29 | -$58 | -$94 | -$154 |
| $28 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$30 | -$68 | -$154 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$32 | +$2 | -$36 | -$105 |
| $29 (+5%) | +$86 | +$57 | +$22 | -$21 |
| $31 (+10%) | +$190 | +$164 | +$137 | +$118 |
| $31 (+11%) โ target | +$212 | +$188 | +$163 | +$146 |
| $32 (+15%) | +$307 | +$287 | +$269 | +$258 |
| $34 (+20%) | +$435 | +$419 | +$407 | +$398 |
Uses CMCSA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.