Target Price Playground
COHR
$307.50
๐ข
COHR IV: 81.5% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 113.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $270 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $48.33 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $285 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $31.16 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If COHR hits $270 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$783 (45.6%) on $1,717 risked, vs $-3,750 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $30,750. Options give 3.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if COHR is at $270. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if COHR hits $270 by Jun 19
+$783
+45.6% on $1,717 risked
Max Profit
+$783
If the stock โค $285 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,717
Net debit
Break-even
$292.83
-4.77% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.21 / -5.75 / 3.78
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| COHR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $246 (-20%) | +$147 | +$218 | +$368 | +$783 |
| $261 (-15%) | +$9 | +$56 | +$170 | +$783 |
| $270 (-12%) โ target | -$70 | -$39 | +$45 | +$783 |
| $277 (-10%) | -$132 | -$114 | -$57 | +$783 |
| $292 (-5%) | -$273 | -$287 | -$296 | +$71 |
| $301 (-2%) | -$357 | -$389 | -$440 | -$852 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | -$412 | -$456 | -$534 | -$1,467 |
| $314 (+2%) | -$466 | -$522 | -$625 | -$1,717 |
| $323 (+5%) | -$544 | -$618 | -$757 | -$1,717 |
| $338 (+10%) | -$670 | -$769 | -$956 | -$1,717 |
| $354 (+15%) | -$787 | -$907 | -$1,127 | -$1,717 |
| $369 (+20%) | -$895 | -$1,030 | -$1,269 | -$1,717 |
Uses COHR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.